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The Case Against Aaron Judge By Joe Saponara


*** The following statements by Joe Saponara are his own and not the feelings expressed by other DailyMixReport team members***

First let me start by saying I’ve got nothing against Aaron Judge. I like the guy. He really seems like a great role model. I’ve been rooting for him. That’s why I have been disappointed and frustrated when watching him play. I looked up the definition of overrated. There were some very interesting phrases. Think too much of. Attach too much importance to. Praise too highly. I heard callers on WFAN comparing him to Babe Ruth. Just because the guy hit 30 home runs in the first half does not mean he will finish with about 60. Gary Sanchez has not continued his pace from last year, despite putting up strong home run numbers.


Look at clutch stats. As of July 20, he is hitting .275 when the game is late and close. Not terrible, but it certainly isn’t overwhelming. Especially when you take his stats as a whole and the reputation he is getting. Lately that late and close stat has been dropping like a stone. Many of his hits were during April and May. Also, early in games. During blowouts, too. Judge is batting .268 with two outs and runners in scoring position. Same average when the game is tied. However, he is hitting .424 when the margin is greater than 4 runs. There have been a number of strikeouts in the ninth inning. I remembered some, but was shocked to see just how many times he struck out in the ninth when reviewing games from the first half. I’m not even sure how many times it was. I lost count. Several games in a row at one point.


Sure, he had some big hits. So did Gardner. Holliday as well. Add Gregorius to that list. Nobody is talking about building a statue for them. Now Judge is slumping mightily. Maybe it had to do with the home run derby. I don’t know. He broke a tie with an RBI single Tuesday night. Perhaps Wednesday’s off day will help him moving forward. I remembered a lot of his home runs coming with them up or down by at least four. Again, I was surprised to see just how many when looking it up. Honestly, I was just documenting the inning of each homer when I stumbled across all those strikeouts in the ninth and home runs in one-sided games. His recent nice defensive play had people talking. I also remember one earlier in the season against Tampa Bay. Great defensive plays happen. The one when he was robbed against the Red Sox. Earlier this season Houston beat the Yankees by a run when an outfielder fired home and made a terrific throw for the third out to finish it. We didn’t stop and celebrate just how valuable these players were to their team because of one or two defensive plays.

Another stat about late in games. He has 30 home runs. Just one in the ninth, or later. None in extras. Two in the eighth, which is also below the average if you figure he should have at least three per inning based on his total. Basically he should have about 7 or 8 after the seventh if you balance it out. Again, just 3. The Yankees have been struggling over the last six weeks. I’m pretty sure they could have lost 22 out of 32 without Judge. He has done very little to impact the team. No home runs since July 7, although I will be fair and again point out that he was robbed of a home run against Boston. I’ll also point out that his only hit in the first several games after their all-star break went about 30 feet.

Obviously Judge has no postseason record to examine. Maybe that should be the focus. There is so much more to see. Forget about the Hall of Fame and all that nonsense. Let’s just see what happens. He has done a lot of good things, but I still think he gets an incomplete at this time. No more discussing monuments. Even when he hits the ball there.

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